The CFS Model, the long range climate forecast model designed by NOAA in its predictions for the coming four weeks paints a grim picture of deficient rainfall, in almost all parts of India.
Overall the rains till June 22 are going to be below average in almost all areas of India, except for some pockets of North East, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Karnataka.
Given below are rainfall forecast maps for the coming four weeks, starting from May 25, 2015.
Please note that the CFS forecasts are issued every day. What we say now is the basic trend that we have discerned after monitoring the data for the last one week. We shall keep you informed of future trends of the rainfall possibility as envisaged by the Climate Forecast Model.
Click here for CFS Monthly Forecasts (June to September 2015)
WEEK 1 (May 25 to June 1)
The worst affected will be coastal areas along the Arabian Sea. The rain deficiency will be as high as 4 inches in some areas.
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| MAY 25 TO JUNE 1: KERALA WILL HAVE RAINS 4-5 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. ONLY PARTS OF ASSAM, NORTH BENGAL AND NORTHERN BANGLADESH WILL HAVE SURPLUS PRECIPITATION. |
WEEK 2: JUNE 1 TO JUNE 8
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| JUNE 1 TO JUNE 8: THE RAIN DEFICIENCY ON INDIAN WEST COAST MAY BE AS HIGH AS 6-7 INCHES. EVEN THE NORTH EASTERN STATES WILL RECEIVE RAINS 5-6 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. |
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| JUNE 8 TO JUNE 15: THE HORROR STORY CONTINUES INTO THE THIRD WEEK. RAINS IN KERALA AND INDIAN WEST COASTAL AREAS WILL BE BELOW AVERAGE BY ALMOST 10 INCHES. ONLY CERTAIN POCKETS IN KARNATAKA WILL HAVE SURPLUS RAINS (ABOUT 2 INCHES) |
JUNE 15 TO JUNE 22, 2015
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| JUNE 15 TO JUNE 22: A LOW PRESSURE IN THE ARABIAN SEA WILL DUMP PRECIOUS COPIOUS RAIN INTO THE SEA. RAINS DEFICIENT IN INDIAN WEST COAST, ODISHA, ANDHRA AND WEST BENGAL. ABOVE AVERAGE RAINS ONLY IN PARTS OF KARNATAKA, TAMIL NADU AND IN MANIPUR, TRIPURA, MEGHALAYA AND MIZORAM |
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